Immigration: Canada projects a population boom in the next 50 years

Hibapress

Canada expects a demographic boom in the next 50 years, thanks in particular to significant migratory flows, the Federal Statistics Agency said on Monday. The North American country’s population is expected to increase by 57% to 62.8 million by 2073, up from 40.1 million last year, according to forecasts released by Statistics Canada.

This is an average annual population growth rate of around 0.9%, according to the agency’s “average growth” scenario cited by Bloomberg.

Statistics Canada projects that the Canadian population will rise to 63 million in the main scenario.

The same source included low and high growth projections, with the population estimated to be between 47.1 million and 87.2 million. The average annual rate would be between 0.3% and 1.6% in these scenarios, compared to an average of 1.1% over the past three decades.

In the main scenario, Canada’s natural population growth – births minus deaths – will turn negative by 2036, making immigration the main driver of future population growth.

The influx of non-permanent residents, including international students and temporary workers, is behind a recent population boom in Canada. However, Statistics Canada predicts a massive exodus of these new arrivals by 2027.

Given the impact on infrastructure and basic services, a housing shortage and soaring rents, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised to reduce the number of temporary residents by around 20% over the next three years. coming years.

Currently, the country has around 2.8 million temporary residents, around 830,000 more than last year.